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Indian Banking Sector Poised for Strong Credit Growth in FY26

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News

02 April 2025

2 min read

UBS Forums

37

India's banking sector is set for steady credit growth in FY26, with loan expansion projected at 12-14%, driven by rising deposit inflows and sustained demand across retail and corporate segments. This optimistic outlook reflects a strong economic environment and increased lending activity from financial institutions.

Despite the positive growth trajectory, banking sector profitability may face headwinds. Analysts warn of margin pressures, as banks are likely to offer higher interest rates to attract deposits while operating in an increasingly competitive lending market. This could lead to a squeeze on net interest margins, impacting overall earnings.

Adding to the evolving financial landscape, the Reserve Bank of India's recent 25-basis point repo rate cut is expected to further boost credit demand. The rate reduction, the first in nearly five years, aims to lower borrowing costs, making loans more accessible to businesses and consumers. However, banks will need to carefully navigate risks while balancing growth and profitability.

With these dynamics in play, financial institutions are likely to focus on operational efficiencies, portfolio diversification, and digital transformation to maintain stability and optimize performance. The sector’s resilience and adaptability will be crucial in sustaining long-term expansion amid changing economic conditions.

 

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